Fantasy Football #1: Players Who I Won’t Be Drafting
Honestly this feels awfully early to be starting fantasy football season, but why delay getting to the best thing in the world. Looking forward to fantasy football season is the only thing that gets me through the western New York winters. Not even football, just fantasy football. Our draft is in less than a month anyways. So I’ll be writing once a week or so, hopefully in nerdy statistic fashion in the future, but for now I’ve just got to deliver the comments I promised.
Today I’ve got the players that won’t be on any of my teams based on current ESPN draft results. It isn’t as if I don’t think they will produce at all, but I don’t see them dropping to a point where I would actually draft them.
Adrian Peterson – 1st Overall, PPC League
In a point per catch league, I won’t have Peterson on my team. I take him 4th after Turner, Jones-Drew, and Forte. Don’t get me wrong, I like Peterson and think he’ll have a great year, but grabbing a full point-per-catch I think the other top guys are just going to produce big numbers more consistently. Peterson will be more feast or famine, I’m guessing he’ll get you 25+ points in two games.
Chris Johnson – 6th Overall
Last year I drafted Chris in the 13th round of our 12-team league (we drafted pretty early). I like him a lot, but I just don’t see his value being this high. Smash and Dash… or Fast and Fat as I like to call them, are in a tough decision and get the AFC East as well, which have some tough run defenses. I just don’t see Tennessee being as effective as they were this year. He could certainly surprise me, but I just don’t see enough weapons there to not stack the line.
Tom Brady – 13th Overall
Great player coming off an injury, so there are some question marks. The AFC East is better than they were two years ago, and they play the AFC South. He’ll be a top 5 quarterback, but if you know me I hate taking early quarterbacks early as is. Give me a good WR or RB this early in the draft; they’re much harder to come by, and the risk is just too high on Brady. That being said, starting with Gore or Fitzy with Brady in the first two rounds could pay off and be a high reward situation for you.
Terrell Owens – 29th Overall
Living an hour from Buffalo and therefore obligated to be a bit of a Buffalo Bills fans, I have systematically avoided drafting Bills in fantasy drafts for the last several years because I know how bad they are (ok Lynch was good, so of course he’s got to sit 2-3 games now). Edwards isn’t exactly proven to begin with, and the Evans/Owens situation should be interesting. Evans should benefit from all the double coverage on Owens more; I think he’ll end up with 1100+ and 4-5 touchdowns. Owens, on the other hand may pull down 850 yards and 8 touchdowns. And that I think might be a little generous. I’d much rather take my chances with Colston or Bowe.
Thomas Jones – 30th Overall
I drafted Jones in the 4th round last year, but this year I’m not going to touch him. I think he’ll lose carries systematically throughout the season to Greene. You know why? Because last year they had a threatening pass game and a great o-line and he still wasn’t exactly great.
Braylon Ewards – 49th Overall
I am tentative to put Braylon on here because he might be able to turn it around this year with Quinn. They’ll probably be losing a lot and need to throw, so this may be a fair place for him. Still though, this puts him at the end of the 4th round, which I think it too early. As long as he isn’t your number one you’re alright, because he has the potential to be a real strong #2.
Knowshon Moreno – 60th Overall
I don’t want any Denver running backs, especially on a Cutlerless bronco team.
Cedric Benson – 80th Overall
Ever since I took him in the 2nd round two years ago I’ve absolutely hated Benson. It’s fitting that he has to live in Cincinnati and I hope that horror continues.
Ok, those are all the important ones, because we’re getting towards the late rounds already. But Matthew Stafford over David Garrard? Give me a break. I’m torn about bringing up the players I really like, because I know my friends would take them just to spite me in our draft. Anyways, there some of the players that I would be willing to bet won’t be on any of my teams this year.
Lastly, I’ve decided I’d like the 4th pick this year, or 9-12th. I’d rather not decide on the top 4 guys, and I am not terribly excited about the next tier of running backs. What slot are you hoping to get in your draft?
Who are the guys you won’t be taking this year? Anyone you’re really hating?
A Waste of a Day and How a Job Interview Shouldn’t Go
Posted by mike in Management, SEO (Search Engine Optimization), eBusiness on July 2nd, 2009
Today, I interviewed for a position as an SEO Specialist at a mid-sized computer repair company headquartered in western New York that operates nation-wide (name ethically omitted). Now I’m rather bitter about the fact that I shaved my raggedy beard for the occasion seeing as how the day ended up being more or less a waste of time for both me and the interviewer. Let’s relive my frustration.
My day started out much like any other. Up at 6:30, do the daily Internet check and make sure it made it through the night without me, grab a paper and do the crossword at Tim Horton’s. It all changed when I shaved the beard, got all dressed up and went in to RIT to prep then travel to my interview. Let’s preface this by saying I would not consider myself an “SEO Specialist” in that I have never worked full-time as a specialist, but I would say that I have experience in the area and if put into a position to work as a specialist, I could become quite proficient without a lot of difficulty. So, I went in to read over the latest SEO information and re-familiarize myself with techniques and such.
Like anyone applying to a job should, I did my research on the company. Their website is functional enough – easy to navigate through. Looking briefly at the code, it appears someone has done some SEO in the past. And then I saw the intro text. Now, you make websites for visitors first, search engines second. After all, it’s the actual people who have to make the purchase. This is why search engines prefer your key words taking up 3-8% of the actual text. With the amount of text on their home page, this would sum to 8-21 key words.
Recommended # of keywords: 8-21
Number of times “computer” alone appears: 25
This doesn’t include other keywords, such as laptop, repair, etc. 3 of their first 5 sentences include all of the words “computer, repairs, and support.” Talk about systems overload. Cringable. After reading that, I’d call them to get my computer fixed because for some reason it’s displaying practically the same text over and over again to me. But I digress. I mention this because it led me to believe minimal SEO work had been done on this website and my involvement would improve its web presence. The job description was vague and no salary range or educational requirements were posted. Maybe there would be an opportunity to make it into more of a web marketing position than strictly SEO. I figured I’d go for it, so I applied, and this interview was set up.
I walk into a nearly-empty room with one desk in it, a young woman sitting at it greeting me. I notice two high-back chairs in a corner with another young woman, representing what I suppose was the waiting room. The walls were littered with newspapers-turned-plaques on the business developments. Their PR, if you will. I was ushered in to take a personality profile and literacy aptitude test. Interesting. I’m not really sure who would check “I hate working with other people” or “I work slow” or “My friend would call me lazy” for the “Most Like Me” section. But that isn’t important. At least my interviewer would know I’m a driven person who can read. So then I get to go back in after probably 25-30 minutes of testing to wait. Oh, and he never even mentioned the test. I at least wanted to know how I did on the comprehension section.
I’m waved in. He doesn’t introduce himself. He doesn’t shake my hand, just offering me a seat at a large conference table. I hand him my resume upon request; he acts like he has never seen it before in his life. I don’t think he has. He leans back in his chair and asks me what job I’m applying for as he squints. Great start!
Anyone who builds a business from the ground up like that deservedly has a bit of an ego. I probably would. And by probably, I mean would. A healthy amount is necessary to invest in your own success. That being said, slap me in the face if I ever border my room with newspaper plaques. Quickly I learn he is a bit of a self-proclaimed SEO expert, very impressed with what he has done so far. He may be an expert *shrug*. I give him the benefit of the doubt, despite my issues with his website. He quizzes me on all the websites I have related experience on this for as well as SEO terminology. Not exactly what I was expecting. I defend my experience honorably and admit to which lingo I’m not familiar with, but I feel like he’s just trying to nail me to the wall. I am up front with him about my lack of experience in a job strictly dealing with SEO, yet he continues in similar fashion. I just start saying I don’t know what things are so I don’t have to argue with him. I couldn’t work for him anyways.
He brags about having a 100,000+ Google Adword keyword campaign and being listed first on thousands of keywords in search engines. Again, I give him the benefit of the doubt. Later, I check out Compete.com (yes, I actually *did* know what it was) and noticed 10,000 unique visitors last month. For a nationwide business, that’s nothing! 300 a day?! Most of his traffic is coming from an obscure search string like “dallas tx computer ibm repair” or something like that. Being listed on the middle-first page for “Magic the Gathering” gave me more than 300 unique visitors every day a couple years ago. Talk about missing the point! (although “computer repair” and other popular searches in this area would be *much* more difficult to accomplish)
My favorite part was him going through my personal website trying to look at my social network pages. “MySpace is the one that always gets people into trouble.” I sit patiently as he surfs around on his laptop. You think maybe he could have done this before the interview? I offer to log him in to my account so he can read everything he feels like. When I looked at resumes I did this on my own time and wouldn’t bother calling them if their pages were inappropriate, or the applicant looked completely insane. Let me tell you there are some interesting MySpace pages. It would have been rather sad had I driven all that way to see him and then he saw a picture of me dressed as a fairy doing cartwheels and a kegstand. Plus, you know, that’s just awkward.
So, he lowballs me on a wage and asks me to let the secretary know if I’m interested in a second interview. Clearly, he’s hoping for someone a bit different in his interviews in the coming days. He says he’d have to teach me how to do everything and then he’s risking that I’d just leave with the knowledge anyways (smart guy – this would very likely be the case). We shake hands and he thanks me for coming.
My request to employers: We do our homework, please do yours.
Look at the resumes; call us if you are really interested. Do a 10-minute phone interview first to clarify anything that may be unclear if necessary. Be concise and specific about job requirements and qualifications. Be polite. Act like you are capable of having respect for the person you’re meeting. With the time and care job seekers put into finding a job and searching today, make sure you aren’t leading them astray.
Now I’m not upset, as I made poor assumptions about the job instead of asking questions. I am not completely blameless and certainly should have inquired for details. I would have been able to organize and better prepare my efforts to make a somewhat more positive impression, or neglected to apply at all. It’s just another example of a failure to communicate – one of the great pitfalls in the workplace and life in general.
This morning I will regretfully inform the secretary to remove me from consideration for the position. I’m sure it will be a shocker. However, there is some good news. “Fantasy Football Fridays” will start tomorrow. You can never start these things too soon.
Recent Investments in a Recovering? Market
Now that I’m unemployed, I figure talking to myself in a public forum will be exciting. Trading stocks and other financial instruments has been a hobby of mine since I was about sixteen. I’ve learned a lot, which is a nice way of saying lost all my money in the past (mainly from taking risky, bullish investments in our poor environment the past several years). I have no complaints though, and with more time to better research my investments lets hope that I’ll do a little bit better job. Maybe I could get lucky and *gasp* beat the market.
So the market isn’t the greatest right now, but it might be getting better. The S&P 500 is up about 4% on the year so far and the NASDAQ composite is up about 18%! I’m sure a lot of people went into safer investments a little too late, watching their investments lose 30% of their value last year. In the short run since – specifically since March – the stock market has been on a great run. Whether it’s a good time to enter now or not, I have been getting my feet wet again.
Keep in mind that I am young and rather fiscally aggressive. Having a lot of earning years ahead of me (hopefully) I take risky investments even though they could cost me a lot (see the past 3 years). Below are the investments that I have taken in the past few weeks.
EUSAZ: Etrade Financial Call Option
I use ETrade as my trading platform, and I really like it. Plus, awesome baby commercials. Anyways, I’ve been losing money with it for years, so I figured I’d give it another shot here. The option expires in January of 2010, so this is a longer term option than I typically invest in. The strike price is $2.50 and the options were purchased at $0.40. If the banking sector does turn around, the e-Brokers have a great chance to turn around quickly, and eTrade was hit the hardest. It also makes it buyout target as the financial industry gains liquidity. That paragraph took me about thirty minutes because I got stuck watching all of the baby commercials.
FRJ: Ford Motor Company Put Option
After completing a successful call option transaction I decided to go bearish on Ford. With pressure on the auto industry this month, mostly regarding GM, I decided I didn’t think there would be a lot of upside pressure on the price outside of general variability. The spread was very small which made the investment attractive, and the spread remains small now. GM’s woes haven’t really transferred over to Ford as much as I had anticipated, so hopefully they will in the next ten days. I purchased the option at $0.88 and it doesn’t look like I’ll make or lose a lot either way barring a big swing.
EWZ: iShares Brazil
I have been holding my position on Brazil’s index fund for quite some time now. I purchased Brazil after doing an analysis on BRIC companies, and it seems to have the most stable economy, isn’t dependent on one resource like Russia, and their short-time currency situation put them at an advantage over India and China. India and China regulated their own currency to have the same exchange rate. As the dollar went on a short run the real become more attractive to investing companies as investing in Brazil essentially became cheaper in real terms. They have a solid net import/export position, produce their own energy, and are hopefully emerging from their recession. My only gripe: EWZ is primarily made up of the larger companies and does not have a lot of small cap exposure. I still think EWZ is in a position to continue its growth versus other economies. I purchased the ETF for $34.59 and it is now trading at $58.08.
THI: Tim Horton’s
You know why I bought it? Because it’s delicious. Also, it has been very successful in the northeast (and Canada) and can continue its growth throughout the country. But, you know, mostly because it’s delicious. I purchased the shares at $24.68 a few weeks ago. Also, it has great debt/equity ratios, hasn’t been too aggressive in financing its growth with debt (which is nice given the current circumstances), they earn great margins, and they have Rrrrollll up the rim to win. If you aren’t a Tim Horton’s person, I would recommend Panera’s (PNRA) as well. Bread bowls rock my world.
TAN: Claymore ETF: Solar
As I’m writing this the guys on CNBC in their infinite wisdom picked three stocks: South Africa ETF, Brazil ETF, and the Solar ETF. I should put a tie on and shout on that show too. With Obama’s reform and society’s shifting green focus, it looks like the solar industry could see some money its way. It has global exposure and is well diversified in the solar industry. I just bought this a couple days ago, kind of missed an initial bump, but I think it’s still something I want in my portfolio for the year. I bought it at $10.25 a few days ago and it’s up a decent amount already.
So that’s my stock portfolio right now. Shoot around some ideas or let me know what investments you are considering. Or don’t and keep them a secret. Anyways, I send me some feedback so that I have something interesting to do.
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